- The assessment findings provide a ‘best case’ and ‘worst case’ scenario. Under both scenarios, it is clearly evident that there will be significant deficits for 2002-03.
- After two years of repeated shocks, the ‘worst case scenario’ of 3.2 million, is likely to be the more accurate depiction of the situation. The capacity of household to engage in coping strategies have mostly been depleted and/or exhausted.
- Estimated total food tonnage requirements to fill this gap is approximately 580,000 mts.
- Without a substantial humanitarian intervention, further livelihood failures and destitution will become a reality for a considerable portion of the population in Malawi.
- The situation in the centre/south is most acute. Particular and immediate attention is required for the following districts: Mangochi, Phalombe, Salima, Nsanje, Chikwawa, and parts of Zomba.
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Considering the depths of chronic poverty in the region and the resulting high levels of vulnerability, respective governments, and donors must consider strengthening national and regional food security and livelihood surveillance systems.
Such initiatives can be incorporated into existing structures and government institutions (e.g. national and SADC regional early warning, the FANR -Vulnerability Assessment Committee and various national safety net programmes
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