Situation overview
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The discharge rate of the Cahora Bassa dam was reduced from 8,400 to 6,600 m3/s on Monday 12 February. Reduced rain, together with the reduction of the Cahora Bassa discharge rate, has allowed the water level to decrease in Tete city, while levels in Mutarara, Caia and Marromeu further downstream continue to rise. The peak of the current water rise in the lover Zambezi is predicted to happen sometime on 14 or 15 February.
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The influx of water into the reservoir does, however, remain high (around 10,000 m3/s). Therefore the abovementioned reduction might be a temporary relief, since more rain is predicted in the region. Moderate to heavy rains were registered in several locations in the Center and North of Mozambique during the past 48 hours.
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As of 13 February, the National Institute for Disaster Management (INGC) estimates that approximately 74,000 people have been displaced due to the floods. An estimated 29,000 people are currently in accommodation centres and an undetermined number in resettlement centres that were established after the 2001 floods. INGC estimates that 285,000 people may possibly be affected by the current emergency in the worst-case scenario.
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